BP to sell $7.06 billion in Argentina assets to help cover gulf oil spill costs

BP has agreed to sell its share of an Argentina-based oil and gas company for $7.06 billion in cash, bringing to about $21 billion its total sales of assets to help cover costs stemming from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill.

After the sale, BP will be most of the way toward its goal of selling as much as $30 billion in assets by the end of 2011 to help cover spill costs and bolster cash holdings to assure investors and lenders of the oil giant's financial stability. The sales are expected to reduce BP's assets by 10 to 15 percent.

The price of the Argentina operations fell $2 billion to $3 billion short of what many analysts expected. Nonetheless, the latest sale of what is considered a non-core asset for BP demonstrates the huge scale of the London-based oil firm's operations. In addition to asset sales, BP is raising more than $2.5 billion a quarter for spill costs from the suspension of its dividend.

BP announced Sunday that it would sell its 60 percent interest in Pan American Energy's oil and gas operations in Argentina to Bridas Corp., which already owns the other 40 percent.

BP acquired the interest when it bought Amoco in 1999. Since then, BP has revived output from the aging Argentine fields, which now produce about 100,000 barrels of oil a day and 450 million cubic feet of natural gas per day. The vast bulk of that production comes from one field, Cerro Dragon, about 900 miles south of Buenos Aires.

But Argentina's tax policies have diminished the attractiveness of operating there, analysts said.

Bridas was founded by the Bulgheroni family of Argentina. In May, the China National Offshore Oil Corp., which has been expanding its worldwide operations, bought 50 percent of Bridas for $3.1 billion. CNOOC's deep pockets helped make the BP sale possible; it will provide much of the cash for the transaction.

The price CNOOC paid earlier this year for its share of Bridas led many analysts to believe that BP would get more for its interests. The CNOOC purchase of Bridas implied a value of $15.5 billion for the entire Pan American Energy operation. That would have translated into a price of $9.3 billion for BP's share.

The sale does not include Pan American's operations in Bolivia.

"Today's agreement further demonstrates both the high quality and attractiveness of the assets throughout BP's global portfolio and also the company's ability to meet our significant financial commitments arising from the Gulf of Mexico tragedy," BP chief executive Bob Dudley said in a statement.

At the end of the third quarter, BP had incurred costs of $11.6 billion as a result of the oil spill, not counting the $3 billion first installment it had paid into a $20 billion escrow fund. Even after those payments, the company had nearly $13 billion in cash and $17 billion of bank facilities it could draw down. The company expects the total cost of the oil spill to ultimately reach $40 billion.

Dudley said BP would seek to sell other assets that might be "strategically more valuable to others than to BP."

Under the terms of the agreement, Bridas will pay BP a cash deposit of $3.53 billion, with the balance of the proceeds due on completion of the sale, which is expected to be completed by Dec. 28.

In China, CNOOC announced that it would join with Bridas's Argentine shareholders to provide $4.94 billion, or 70 percent, of the purchase price. The remaining 30 percent will be covered by loans, or additional cash contributions if necessary.

As of Dec. 31, 2009, BP's 60 percent interest in Pan American accounted for 917 million barrels of oil equivalent reserves, about 5 percent of the company's overall reserves. Production from Pan American accounted for 3.6 percent of BP's global output.

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When oil prices rise, Russia has freedom over a barrel

The judge had already postponed the verdict without explanation ("The court does not explain itself," said a spokesman). Before reading it, he barred journalists and the defendant's family from the courtroom. No one should have been surprised, therefore, when Mikhail Khodorkovsky - the Russian oil baron who once defied the Kremlin - received a further six years in prison last week, on top of the eight he's served. This time, he was sentenced for "stealing" an impossible quantity of oil, the same oil he has already been accused of selling without paying taxes.

In fact, nobody pretended that the Khodorkovsky verdict was anything but a political statement, one of a series of gestures the Russian government has made to its own public and to the rest of the world in recent weeks. The blocking of corruption investigations; the expressions of support for the brutal and violent "elections" in neighboring Belarus; the deaths of journalists; all of these seem designed to contradict the distinctly friendlier, reformist language that the Russian president, Dmitry Medvedev, was using until recently. A mere two years ago, Medvedev had even denounced Russia's culture of "legal nihilism" - a phrase some construed as a reference to the Khodorkovsky case.

Why the change of tone? Why now? Many complex theories have been hatched to explain it. This being Russia, none can be proved. But perhaps the explanation is very simple: Oil is once again above $90 a barrel - and the price is rising. And if that's the reason, it's nothing new. In fact, if one were to plot the rise and fall of Soviet and Russian foreign and domestic reforms over the past 40 years on a graph, it would match the fall and rise of the international oil price (for which domestic crude oil prices are a reasonable proxy) with astonishing precision.

To see what I mean, begin at the beginning: In the 1970s, oil prices began to rise significantly, along with the then-Soviet Union's resistance to change. The previous decade (with oil prices at $2 or $3 a barrel, not adjusted for inflation) had been one of flux and experimentation. But after OPEC pushed prices up in the 1970s, oil revenue poured in - and the Soviet Union entered a period of internal "stagnation" and external aggression. Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev invested heavily in the military, halted internal reforms and in 1979 (when oil was at $25 a barrel) - invaded Afghanistan.

Brezhnev was eventually followed by Yuri Andropov, who had the good fortune to run the Soviet Union when oil prices were still high (at his death, in 1984, they averaged $28 a barrel). Andropov could thus afford both an internal crackdown on dissidents and a continued tense relationship with the West. But Andropov was followed by Mikhail Gorbachev, who took over just as prices plunged. In 1986 (with oil down to $14 a barrel), he launched his reform programs, perestroika and glasnost. By 1989 (when oil was still only at $18) he allowed the Berlin Wall to fall, freed Central Europe and ended the Cold War.

Prices fluctuated, but they did not really rise again in the 1990s (plunging as low as $11 in 1998), the years when Boris Yeltsin was still trying to be best friends with Bill Clinton, the Russian media were relatively free and there was still talk, at least, of major economic reforms. But in 1999 (when oil prices rose to $16 a barrel), Yeltsin's prime minister, Vladimir Putin, launched the second Chechen war, the West bombed Belgrade, and the mood in Russia turned distinctly anti-Western once again.

The fortunate Putin took over as president in 2000, at the start of a long and seemingly inexorable rise in oil prices. Indeed, Gorbachev's calls for internal reform were long forgotten by 2003 (when oil prices were creeping up to $27 a barrel). The days when Yeltsin pushed for Russia to join Western institutions were a distant memory by 2008, when Russia invaded Georgia (and oil was at $91 a barrel).

The new Russian president, Dmitry Medvedev, did try to sound nicer in 2009 (when oil prices averaged about $53 a barrel), leaving Putin, now the prime minister again, grumbling in the background. Medvedev locked a draconian treason law, invited democracy activists to the Kremlin, denounced the Belarusan dictator and even seemed to some to have liberalized Russian television just a bit.

But now it is 2011, Putin is very much in the foreground, and Khodorkovsky has just been sentenced by a kangaroo court. As I write these words, oil is at $92.25 a barrel.

Is this analysis too simplistic? Sure it is. But I haven't yet heard a better explanation.

applebaumletters@washpost.com

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Gasoline prices hit eight-month low

With the end of the summer driving season just around the corner, traders and investors on Monday drove gasoline prices to an eight-month low on U.S. commodities markets, providing the latest sign of pessimism about the economic recovery.

The sagging commodity market price for gasoline is good news for American motorists, promising a mild easing in pump prices. It also marks the end of a summer of relative stability for retail gasoline prices, which have fluctuated by about 20 cents per gallon since the beginning of the year and have stayed in an 8-cent range for the past 69 days.

Prices have been stuck in neutral because of the continuing weak global economy and fundamental shifts in the U.S. gasoline market, the world's biggest.

The surge in U.S. consumption that many refiners expected earlier this year has not materialized. Last week, the American Petroleum Institute reported that in July, U.S. gasoline deliveries (a measure of demand) were 9.3 million barrels a day, down slightly compared with July 2009. Except for 2008, it was the lowest July gasoline demand number since 2003.

A lack of consumer confidence and continuing high unemployment have kept people cautious about spending and traveling. "With unemployment high and July regular gasoline prices more than 20 cents a gallon above those a year ago, consumers likely have been shopping and vacationing less and trimmed their gasoline purchases accordingly," said John Felmy, the institute's chief economist.

But long-term trends -- such as improvements in the fuel efficiency of American autos -- played a part too, other analysts said. A steady increase in the biofuels component of U.S. motor fuel is another reason; the four week average for ethanol production ending Aug. 13 was 854,000 barrels a day, up nearly 18 percent from a year ago and now more than 9 percent of the volume of motor fuel, according to the Renewable Fuels Association.

With consumption lackluster, U.S. oil companies have been left holding much bigger than usual inventories of gasoline. That, combined with renewed pessimism about U.S. economic prospects, has prompted traders to increase their short selling of gasoline -- betting on a further decline in prices. Short positions jumped 20 percent in the week ended Aug. 17, according to figures compiled by Barclays Capital.

Crude oil prices have also tumbled after a brief surge. The price of a barrel of the benchmark West Texas Intermediate type of crude for delivery next month stood at $72.70 at the end of Monday, down from $82.55 on Aug. 3.

"What is amazing is the degree to which the trading community failed to understand that the gasoline season ended at Memorial Day weekend," said Edward Morse, a veteran oil analyst at Credit Suisse who has been predicting stable prices for months. "All the evidence was in sight that the market was going to be oversupplied."

Morse said that refinery output was "too high, Europe was exporting too much [fuel], biofuel blending components were rising, and the fuel efficiency of the fleet has grown remarkably in the past four years."

The American Automobile Association said Monday that the average retail price of a gallon of regular gasoline eased to just under $2.71 a gallon, down more than 4 cents from a week ago and up only 8 cents from a year earlier, when the economy was more deeply mired in recession.

There have been some signs of economic recovery, however, in petroleum statistics recently. The Petroleum Institute said that there was an 11.6 percent increase in deliveries of low sulfur distillates, which are primarily diesel fuels used in trucking, and a 6.9 percent increase in kerosene jet fuel deliveries. The price of diesel fuel also fell 4 cents a gallon in the past week, but it has climbed 28 cents from a year ago.

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